Markets continued their positive performance in the second quarter and the S&P 500 is now up 17% through the first half of the year. Many investors have been caught off guard as the outlook at the beginning of the year was doom and gloom. Cooling inflation, better than expected corporate earnings, and the new AI (Artificial Intelligence) craze have been the obvious drivers of the great start to the year, but as we get longer into this market run up, the question becomes “Is this sustainable”? In order for the answer to be yes, inflation must continue on its downward descent, the Fed has to start talking rate cuts and corporate earnings expectations need to continue to surprise to the upside. In our view, at present, there’s a low probability of all three happening in unison.
The 3rd quarter managed a slim profit despite a pullback of over 5% from the market high on September 2nd. Stocks, as measured by the S&P 500, have returned nearly 15% through the first three quarters of the year. We went 211 trading days without a 5% correction, which is the 13th longest streak on record. Historically, these streaks have been positive, as 11 of the 12 streaks longer than the most recent one continued their positive trends over time. Despite great returns year to date and a trend that should remain positive, we are seeing a wall of worry not experienced since the depths of COVID-19 in 2020.
With significant gains in real estate over the past 10 years, and interest rates at historical lows, diversifying real estate holdings via a 1031 exchange remains an attractive strategy for many investors. Click HERE to read more.
We spent many hours at the end of 2019 trying to figure out what could derail one of the greatest markets in history. Most investors’ biggest concern going into 2020 was the upcoming election and what a potential change in Washington leadership would mean for the markets. Of course, no one predicted a global pandemic causing a global recession. Fortunately, it was the shortest recession and fastest market recovery in history. Please click HERE to continue reading our 4th Quarter Newsletter.
On Monday, December 21, 2020, Congress passed an additional COVID-19 package that contains $900 billion worth of economic relief for numerous government programs across the US, loans for small businesses, vaccine distribution, and a second round of stimulus checks. The bill is pending the President’s signature and may result in further negotiations and modified terms; we will communicate additional details as they are available. For now, click HERE for a brief overview of key provisions within the (5,500+ page) package approved by Congress earlier this week.
We are pleased to announce that Canal Capital Management is a part of the 2020 RIA Channel Top 50 Emerging RIA List. RIA Database® has been producing Top Advisor lists for Forbes for over 10 years. The Emerging RIA list recognizes growing firms under $500 million in assets under management. Click here to read the full list.